Nick,
stability long enough to give people something interesting to watch.
Your response illustrates why it is so difficult to try and explain something like game theory.
You have to think in terms of absolutes and cast the analysis in terms of perfect situations - then extrapolate the less than perfect.
This is my fault for not being able to explain it sufficiently - not a 'you can't understand' kind of thing.
If you have two teams that are absolutely equal in ability - speed, shooting skill, intelligence, etc - to whom does the advantage go - the team that has locked down the field or the team that's trying to manuever forward?
I am not referring to a bad defense - or a static defense - I'm talking about the basic premise that, when all things are equal, defensive postures are inherently stronger than offensive ones.
Most cases that you are referring to of the win going to the aggressor is referencing the aggression and the will to win, not offense versus defense.
Look at it another way: if you could play against yourself, what's going to win? Running from bunker to bunker and exposing yourself or taking up good positioning, good protection and choosing the shot?
Sure, every once and a while the moving is going to pay off, but in the vast majority of cases, you're too exposed and the probabilities say doing so is going to get you shot.