Re: Re: Top 18
Originally posted by Robbo
Chi, as soon as you begin to appreciate that commonsense and the 'right' thing to do are not the reasons why all this is happening (if it were then it would have happened long ago) and has everything to do with financial necessity then you might begin to understand the inevitablity of it all.
The details are really all that need to be resolved.
If this integration doesn't go ahead then Paintball's hierarchy will assume a level of stupidity that would surprise even me ..... and that would take some doing.
I know what you're saying, but I don't see the financial necessity playing out the same way you do.
I thinkwe can agree on one base assumption: The vast majority of companies in the industry do not have the financial means to support two leagues.
The natural conclusion from this is that the leagues must unify.
However, that's only the immediate natural conclusion. I don't think that conclusion stands up to thinking a few moves down the road. Anyone considering whether or not to participate in a unification has to ask themselves the question "What happens if there is no unification?" Once there is an answer to that question, that person will then ask "Which of those two situations is better for me?"
So, answering the first question: "What happens if there is no unification?" Looking at our base assumption, paintball companies will be forced to choose to support one league or the other.
And when answering the second question, that's where I think this whole unification thing breaks down: PSP is already quite accustomed to many sponsors already choosing to support just NPPL. So if they refuse to unify.... they're just doing what they were already doing last year.
And if the situation is as dire as some are saying it is, what happens if those same people with an interest in PSP follow through with only being able to support one league, and only sponsor PSP? That would put NPPL in a whole world of hurt. Or worse, what happens if other sponsors, having just gotten back from Miami, realize that World Cup is *THE* place to sell a bunch of stuff?
I agree that many in the industry WANT one league. I'm not convinced that NPPL can convince PSP that they're better off unifying on NPPLs terms instead of trying to fight it out. Actually, I'm pretty convinced they won't.
I think you'll agree that there is a whole lot of pride involved here, and that's a significant obstacle to overcome, and I just can't see NPPL making an offer attactive enough to the PSP side to overcome the pride issues.
Anyone on the PSP side will have this decision to make:
- I can unify, and pretty much surrender to control of Pure Promotions, in exchange for some amount of consideration in Pro spots and an increase in vendor fees.
- I can not unify, pay lower vendor fees essentially to myself, and see where we're at next year.
The only reason you wouldn't do the second is if you believed that NPPL had a very good chance of continuing and being successful with the ESPN deal, AND that you couldn't create your own television opportunity, leaving you in a worse position next year. And I think as a matter of pride, these guys are going to think that if they just don't support NPPL at all this year, they stand a good chance of ending up on top.