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Going Down?

Robbo

Owner of this website
Jul 5, 2001
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www.p8ntballer.com
Over the last year or so, I have been documenting the inexorable slide of our ‘sport’, both on the field and off.
For once though, the state of UK paintball is gonna be nudged unceremoniously toward the back burner for the purposes of this post because of a much wider industry problem.

I have been speaking quite a lot to friends of mine in the US and this has always been my major source of information. I hear rumours and gossip all the time, who the hell doesn’t in paintball? Sometimes, we seem to thrive on it but I have never allowed rumours or gossip to become the bedrock of anything I write. But I’m afraid those somewhat depressing posts on here and articles in PGi that I have written in the past were not so much predictions (though they did came true) but rather a forerunner of even darker days.
The industry of late has gotten used to the ‘doom and gloom’ rhetoric the media have immersed themselves in, but to be fair, it’s quite difficult to report on events positively when those self-same events are anything but.

Incidentally, some recent financial inspections have been commissioned to take a close look at the paintball market and they reveal there is no light at the end of the tunnel for a couple of years; and the slide has steepened more than was feared.

It wasn’t so long ago, Paintball was on the right side of a billion dollar business but we have now contracted to one third of that figure, yes, that’s right, we’ve lost approx 66% of our business.
Unless you’ve downsized appropriately and / or tailored your company accordingly, you are gonna go out of business, that’s about the size of it.
This horror story is not however, gaining too much traction over here in Europe, especially Eastern Europe.

And so, should we worry too much if the Yanks are having a hard time of it?
It is of course worth acknowledging at this point, the vast majority of our source industry is based in the US and it seems reasonable to assume we (Europeans) must soon be on the wrong end of that well know phrase, ‘When America sneezes, we catch a cold’.

We have already seen a quite drastic cutback in team sponsorship but the back teeth have yet to bite too deeply into European event support and that’s mainly due to the fact we are still expanding.
It makes little sense in cutting back these support packages if the market is doing relatively well, for some of those companies, it is extremely important to support the European tournament scene because this is where their customer demographic lies, but for others, it means a lot less.

In our heyday, the vast majority of the big US companies attended these events but some of them are taking a close look at just what return they get for their event investment ..... for some, it was close to nothing more than a company presence.

If these recent market predictions are anywhere accurate then we are going to see some big guns muffled for good, of that I have no doubt.
I suppose the question to ask when considering these commissioned predictions is, ‘are they Mickey Mouse financial institutions doing the analysis or are they a serious outfit’?
Well, unfortunately for us, Mickey Mouse seems to have left town.
Of course, for the people left standing after this thinning of the herd, it will free up substantial slices of the market previously fed upon by those companies who’ve just bitten the dust.

A feeding frenzy will begin every time someone takes the unceremonious walk to the dead-box;
the effect of all this will be to make our industry ‘leaner and meaner’ which in itself is a good thing for paintball overall and in this sense isn’t unwelcome but I suppose I’m loathe to look forward to any time where I see one of our companies wither on the paintball vine just to make us healthier.
I have grown up with most of these guys, and have had dealings, and became friends with, the vast majority of our industry’s owners and personnel, this is not a good time for any of them.

The point of this post?
Well, I certainly do not want it to sound like a requiem; I do however want it to provoke a debate because it sometimes does us good to get the carpet out and give it a ‘damn good thrashing’.
I think the main discussion points be left to you but to kick start it, I think it might be interesting to see how you guys think this killing field in the US is gonna affect us over here in Europe when we bear in mind, we are doing quite good thank-you.
 

jim

Active Member
Jul 31, 2001
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Over the last year or so, I.................


.......................Europe when we bear in mind, we are doing quite good thank-you.
What % would you estimate the UK paintball economy to be when compared with the global market ?


Edit: I just trimmed the quote Jim, that's all mate. Robbo
 

Bon

Timmy Nerd
Feb 22, 2006
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I think that we are in the calm before the storm as it stands, and that if we arn't going to loose some serious icons in the sport that we will all need to come together, companies and players, to survive it.
 

Jckk335_crazy

Always reads never posts
Mar 21, 2008
73
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Durham in the North East
Is there no way of combing tournie and senario side as it seems that they are doing ok (although I don't know the full picture). So we can have one big structure and pump the money to relavent areas.
 

rewind

Shiny!
Aug 28, 2008
330
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Kent
The main problem, as robbo pointed out, is that us 'europeans', actually, no, im BRITISH, not european... but thats another argument....

anyway, as robbo pointed out, we follow america. and as the industry is american based, they go down, we will follow, as there will predominantly be no big dog tournies to really follow... what with the NPPL going down and all.

I think though, that this is europes chance to get our teeth into paintball and really push it as a sport and show the americans that we can play.

The NSPL is pushing forward and is looking to be a good one this year, and the Mills seem to be going forward too, so as long as we dig our heals in and wait for the hard economic crush, we should be ok.

UKPSF could be the begining of joining woodsball and speedball events, but i think players pride will prevent joining the two outright.
 

chuckwood

Now back in Australia!
Aug 2, 2008
784
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In regards to industry attending events and shows.
I know for a fact that businesses in any field are trimming costs down currently to obviously makes sure their cash flow is safe to prepare the downturn. I am in a business where we attend many trade shows every year and I am now having to justify every single one of them to the powers that be.

I am only going to attend a third of all the shows we did before as our customer base is shutting down or closing and thus it is not worthwhile for me to do them all.
Paintball is a well off person's sport for tournament play-lets face it. The industry would have to look at the grass roots organisations to ensure new players are encouraged and bought in.

Tournaments like KOTH and no battlepack are excellent to encourage new people at a cheaper cost and I think this will happen more until the recession abates. What is being done here in the UK is an excellent idea from a business and sport perspective to shrink the scene down slightly and reduce costs.

Formula 1 is doing it so you know even the most expensive sports are worried about their own survivals.
 

OddJob

Photographer
Oct 28, 2004
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Is this worsening picture not a parrellel with what is happening in the world generally? That it was seen as a 'blip' and things would be ok, only to uncover yet more evidence of dire financial dire straits? The head of the Bank of England said as much yesterday, that the recession was worse than we realised and would go on longer than the positive spin put on it by governments to try and ward off people jumping in their war shelters and harming the economy worse.

When an economy is built on a service sector then any down turn hits is hard as people can't buy services with the limited money, and paintball is that. It will carry on, in a changed way, and will come back when times are good...tis just the way of life and sadly it will cause stress and job losses on route.